Saturday, February 23, 2013

Wil Myers vs. Oscar Taveras





















Wil Myers vs. Oscar Taveras

Backround
Wil Myers: He was drafted by the Kansas City Royals in 2009, for 2,000,000, out of a high school in North Carolina. He has good makeup and leadership.
Oscar Taveras: He was signed by the Cardinals in 2008 for a 145,000 bonus out of Puerto Plata in the Dominican Republic. He has average makeup and leadership. 

Health, Tools and Athleticism
Wil Myers: He has not had any significant injuries except a knee infection that kept him out for a monh in 2011. He is slightly bulkier then Taveras. He has very good raw power and also has a very good bat when he is not trying to hit homers. He has slightly below average speed and that will probably limit him to an outfield corner. He has a good arm and his defense is adequate for right or left field.
Oscar Taveras: He had a injury shortened 2011 and he has had injuries before but I don't think that is a  major problem. He is very lean. He has a supernatural ability to get his bat on the ball and his raw power is developing. He has average speed, though maybe slightly below. He plays okay defense in center and might be able to stick there but his fairly strong arm is better in right field.

Performance
Wil Myers: He hit 343/414/731 in 134 at-bats in AA, an incredible feat. He also hit 13 homers. When moved up to AAA, he thrived. He hit 304/378/554 with 24 more home runs at age 21. He will probably return to Triple-A at age 22.
Oscar Taveras: He hit 321/380/572 in AA at age 19 and 20. His slugging percentage stayed approximately the same as last year, which is good, because I was worried about a drop to about .520. He will probably move up to AAA at age 20.


Prediction for Future
Wil Myers: I think Myers will be a .285 hitter with 30+ homers and providing 5 steals a year and adequate defense in right field.
Oscar Taveras: I think Taveras will be a .300 hitter with 25-30 homers with 10 steals a year and fairly good defense in right.


Overall Analysis
I like Taveras a little more then Myers, partly because he is a year and a half younger and he has a higher upside, but Myers has a little more floor.

Friday, February 22, 2013

My Grading System

Xander Bogaerts

My Grading System
I will be showing you my grading system.

  1. First, it is on a scale from 0-100, though naturally I will not be rating anyone who is a prospect a 1.
  2. I show their current rating and then what they could be. Then I show what rating each of their tools are (Arm, Bat, Power, Defense and Speed). The rating for their tools is not what they are now, but what they are going to be in the future. 50 is major league average.  Then I show how much risk they have on a scale of 1-10. 10 risk is very high and 1 risk is very low.
  3. Then I give a little description of each player (4 to 5 sentences).    
Xander Bogaerts
Rating: 68                                  Bat: 62           Defense: 52
Potential: 75                               Power: 68      Speed: 52
Risk: 5                                        Arm: 62
Xander Bogaerts was signed by the Red Sox in 2009. Since then he has just hit. In his first year in the DSL he hit 314/396/423. He didn't seem to be very strong, with a .423 slugging percentage. In 2011 he had a down year, hitting 260/324/509, but developing more power. He then continued to develop this power, hitting 302/378/505 in High A. He was promoted to AA and hit the cover off the ball. I am a little worried about his lack of walks in AA, 1 walk in 92 at-bats, but I don't think that will be a serious problem. He has good athleticism. He may have to move to third base but he is working hard to stay at short. I project him as .280 hitter with 25-30+ homeruns.    


http://www.tedsarmy.com/.a/6a01310f9ede0b970c0162ffcab806970d-800wi

Hello... and welcome to Prospects and Predictions










Hello

I am welcoming you to a blog about Prospects and Predictions. Hope you enjoy!